Where they run united, the center-right wins. Divided, on the other hand, he struggles and gives the center-left the possibility of finding himself in the lead in challenges that seemed to be uphill, such as Verona. This is the photograph offered by the first results of the administrative vote. But that’s not enough, because this election also marks new equilibrium within the coalitions.
Fratelli d’Italia surpasses the League in the list votes while in the wide field of the center-left the relationship between the Democratic Party and the Movement seems to be even more unbalanced. The Democratic Party holds, much less than the pentastellati, a flop that pushes more than someone among the dem and beyond (Matteo Renzi says it openly) to ask for the alliance dossier to be reopened in view of the 2023 political elections. of central parties, Italia Viva but above all Carlo Calenda. Waiting for the definitive data, however, there is an irrefutable fact and it concerns the flop of the referendum on justice. The turnout for the consultation on the five referendum questions, held on the same day as the administrative offices, is the worst in republican history. But if the failure to reach the quorum and the low turnout for the referendums were almost taken for granted, the outcome of the administrative offices marks a change of pace in the definition of the balance of power in view of the policies. The electoral law and the possibility or not of modifying it proportionally will inevitably weigh. Who tries to flaunt security is Matteo Salvini: “The League is the glue of the coalition”, says the former minister who has no doubts: “The center-right wins only if united”. Proof of this is the result of Palermo and Genoa and L’Aquila unlike Verona and Catanzaro where the divided coalition will have to go to the ballot. But, if it is true that the center-right holds, victory tastes bitter at least in via Bellerio. In fact, from the first data it emerges that the League is overtaken by the Brothers of Italy, the first party in the coalition in the North. The still partial results show that Fdi in Genoa is close to double the figure compared to the Lega. In Parma, the Meloni party flies over 7% and overall gets more than Lega and Fi added together. In Piacenza, the League loses almost six points, while Fdi goes from 7 to 12%. Overtaking also in Tuscany, where for example in Lucca, Fdi surpasses the Lega-Fi tandem obtaining 13%. Numbers that allow Meloni not only to say she is “satisfied”, but to make it clear that her party is the “driving force” of the center-right. Not only that, for the leader of Fdi the polls deliver an evident result and that is the return to a “healthy bipolarity”. The Democratic Party is also happy: “the judgment is decidedly positive and will be even more positive in the ballot,” says Enrico Letta. “We are the first party from North to South”, exults Francesco Boccia. Looking at the first data, in fact, the Dems obtain the primacy in Genoa with 21% in Parma they earn about 10 points, in Padua they are close to 22%. The center-left wins in Lodi in Padua, in Parma they go to the ballot as well as in Verona just to name a few. The faces are more drawn, however, when the discussion widens to alliances. The so-called wide field is struggling to expand the perimeter, indeed, the ballot boxes deliver a real setback due to the flop of the Five Star Movement which in the cities where it presented the symbol has recorded percentages far from the previous ones. To cite a couple of cases in Genoa M5s goes from 18.4% to just over 4%, in Parma it did not show up, in Padua it takes just over 1%: “The data does not satisfy us”, he says without many Giuseppe Conte turns the word but reassures that the alliance with the Dems will hold: “A joint action cannot be compromised by this electoral round”. That the theme of alliances represents the next challenge is no mystery. And the so-called third pole is the interlocutor to deal with: “If I were still a leader of the Democratic Party I would like to make an alliance with the reformist center and not with the grillini”, says Matteo Renzi. Numbers in hand instead Carlo Calenda quantifies the new political area at around 20%.
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