Beyond the specific results in the individual municipalities, many of which will be defined with the second round ballot, the negative protagonist is the low turnout.

None of the five referendum questions reached the quorum, even if, for example, with regard to the first question relating to unblocking after conviction, compared to an average national turnout of 20.94%, 14.70% of those entitled to vote in the Municipalities without administrative while in those in which there were also municipal elections it reached 50.90%.

In any case, just over a fifth of Italians is the lowest result since 1974 with the previous 67 abrogative referendums which recorded an average turnout of 52%. And of these, 28 had not reached the quorum. Before today the worst result had been in 2009 with the referendum on the election of the Chamber of Deputies, concerning the abrogation of the possibility of linking lists and the attribution of the majority prize to a coalition of lists, in which only the 23% of those entitled.

Also with regard to administrative offices, according to data from the Interior Ministry, which do not include Friuli-Venezia-Giulia and Sicily, in the 818 municipalities where the vote was taken, the average turnout was 54.77%. It had been 60.12% to the previous municipal ones.

In short, disaffection with politics and little interest in the topics proposed in the five referendums seem to dominate. But how did the Italians react on the issue?

To answer the question, ANSA and DataMediaHub analyzed the online conversations (social + online news + blog and forum) on the issue from Saturday 11 June, the day before the voting, until midnight the day after the vote, on 13 June.

In three days, just under 40 thousand quotations of “turnout” online. Maximum peak between 11:15 pm and 11:30 pm on June 12th when the first official data on the subject began to circulate. But already in the early afternoon, when it began to be evident that the referendums would not reach the quorum, the volumes of online conversations began to be consistent.

Volume of conversations generated by over 6 thousand unique users whose contents involved (like + reaction + comments and shares) almost 245 thousand subjects. And which generated almost 27.7 billion of potential reach, the so-called “opportunity to been seen”, which we reasonably estimate has actually generated 1.4 billion views on the topic, gross of duplications.

Clear prevalence of negative sentiment. Negative emotions related to online verbalizations related to voter turnout. Among the most recurring themes, the waste of public money, the lack of interest in referendum questions, the distance between politics and people. Controversy over the inadmissibility of referendums on euthanasia and cannabis which, according to many online, would have led Italians to the polls.

It is no coincidence that the content that has generated the greatest involvement of all is the user Fabio, who tweeted on Sunday afternoon: “Italy is a strange country. The people are not allowed to vote on a question of conscience such as euthanasia, but yes on 5 technical questions that are incomprehensible to most. Questions that affect the balance between two powers of the state. Then we complain if people don’t go to vote. #affluence “. Tweet that has obtained more than 11 thousand likes and 1,320 retweets despite the account in question having only 269 followers, as shown in our infographic with the “virality map” of the spread of the tweet in question.

In short, strong criticality and distance between politics and citizens are the leitmotifs emerging from online conversations.


#Italians #online #turnout #referendums #municipal #Politics

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