The feeling is that we have reached the final battle. Whether it is expulsion or split, what is certain is that the numbers will be decisive in determining what effects the earthquake in the Five Stars will have on parliamentary and government balance. The eventual farewell of Luigi Di Maio, the result of an expulsion or autonomous decision of the minister, could in fact cause an exodus of several dozen parliamentarians loyal to the government line of the holder of the Farnesina. Weakening the groups of Giuseppe Conte, but also changing the balance and the parliamentary geography of the Movement which currently has 72 senators and 155 deputies.
The battleground is the hottest of all: foreign policy. But in the background the question of the limitation of the second term also weighs: it is very alarming for those who have been in Parliament for 10 years and, therefore, no longer eligible for re-election. On this point, in particular, various souls of the party, at first distant, now united in hostility to the leader, have united. And so, the component headed by Minister Di Maio could broaden the consensus and cause a deeper fracture: whether it is expulsion or split, up to 60 deputies and senators could be willing to follow the holder of the Farnesina out of the Movement .
His loyalists are considered the Deputy Minister of Economy Laura Castelli and parliamentarians or former members of previous governments such as Manlio Di Stefano, Vincenzo Spadafora, Mattia Fantinati, Sergio Battelli, Dalila Nesci, Virginia Raggi, Claudio Cominardi Primo di Nicola, the former undersecretaries of Vacca and Valente. With Conte, on the other hand, the minister Stefano Patuanelli and important executives such as Vito Crimi, Paola Taverna, Ettore Licheri and Alfonso Bonafede.
It is evident that much will depend on the way in which the rift is reached. And from the positioning of the pentastellati with respect to the government: if they were to move away from the current majority of Draghi, in fact, the Conte groups would face more numerous defections. Especially since the polls and the results of the recent administrative have generated fears about the future in many peons. In short, the choices of the middle area will also depend on these developments, occupied by mediators such as the current group leaders and free hitters.
Spotlight, therefore, on the future moves of Di Maio and his men. And it is no coincidence that in recent days the Foreign Minister has come under the magnifying glass of the so-called reformist pole that focuses on Beppe Sala as a possible leader. An area, that of the center, which also looks with interest to the moderates of Forza Italia who have long suffered from the more pro-League positions of their party.